A circuit device includes an oscillation signal generation circuit that generates an oscillation signal having an oscillation frequency using a resonator, the oscillation frequency being a frequency set by using frequency control data, and a processor configured to perform a signal process on input frequency control data based on a phase comparison result between an input signal based on the oscillation signal and a reference signal. The processor is configured to estimate a true value for an observed value of the frequency control data based on the phase comparison result through a Kalman filter process in a period before a hold-over state is detected, and generate aging-corrected frequency control data, in a case where the hold-over state is detected, by holding the true value at a timing corresponding to a timing of detecting the hold-over state, and by performing a calculation based on the true value.