A system for analyzing an optical transport network is provided. The system can generate a linear OSNR and an output power profile for each optical link element of an optical link based on an input power profile, amplifier characteristics, transport fiber characteristics, and a set of operating parameters. The system can generate a nonlinear OSNR for each optical link element based on the input power profile and transport fiber characteristics of each optical link element. The system can determine an expected performance metric for the optical link based on the linear OSNR, the non-linear OSNR, and a transmitter output OSNR. The system can designate the optical link as valid for use in the optical transport network if the expected performance metric is greater than or equal to a performance metric threshold.