In one embodiment, a current context of a mobile device may be ascertained, where the current context includes an indication of a last application opened via the mobile device, wherein the last application opened is one of a plurality of applications installed on the mobile device. A probability, for each of the plurality of applications, that a user of the mobile device will use the corresponding application under the current context may be determined, where the probability for at least a portion of the plurality of applications is determined by applying a computer-generated model to the current context. One or more of the plurality of the applications may be identified based, at least in part, upon the probability, for each one of the plurality of applications, that the user of the mobile device will use the corresponding application.