A picture prediction method includes: determining motion vectors of W control points in a current picture block; obtaining motion vectors of P pixel units of the current picture block by using a motion model and the motion vectors of the W control points, where precision of the determined motion vectors of the W control points is 1/n of pixel precision, precision of the motion vector of each of the P pixel units is 1/N of the pixel precision, the motion vector of each of the P pixel units is used to determine a corresponding reference pixel unit in a reference picture of a corresponding pixel unit; and performing interpolation filtering on a pixel of the corresponding reference pixel unit by using an interpolation filter with a phase of Q, to obtain a predicted pixel value of each of the P pixel units.