Novel techniques are described for predictive time-shift buffering for live television and persistent recording thereof. For example, upcoming program data can be obtained, and a candidate program can be identified from the upcoming program data as likely to be viewed live via the television receiver. An automated time-shift buffer (ATSB) trigger time and an ATSB flush time can be determined in accordance with a program start time associated with the candidate program. At the ATSB trigger time, it can be determined whether the candidate program is being viewed. If not, a time-shift buffer can be directed to begin buffering the candidate program in accordance with the program start time. At the ATSB flush time, it can be determined whether the candidate program is still not being viewed live. In that case, the time-shift buffer can be directed automatically to flush as-yet-buffered data of the candidate program.