Systems and methods are disclosed for determining at least one geographic region of a plurality of geographic regions, at least one data variable, and/or at least one health variable, estimating a current prevalence of a data variable in a geographic region of the plurality of geographic regions, determining a trend in a relationship between the data variable and the geographic region at a current time, determining a second trend in the relationship between the data variable and the geographic region at at least one prior point in time, determining if the trend in the relationship is irregular within a predetermined threshold with respect to the second trend from the at least one prior point in time, and, upon determining that the trend in the relationship is irregular within a predetermined threshold, generating an alert.