Techniques for instantiating energy saving setpoint adjustments are described. In an example, a heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) system is controlled via a thermostat during a first time period according to a first temperature setpoint schedule including one or more temperature setpoints and a first usage amount of the HVAC system is monitored during the first time period. After it is determined that the first usage amount of the HVAC system during the first time period has met a first predefined HVAC runtime threshold criterion, a second temperature setpoint schedule is generated with at least one of the one or more temperature setpoints being adjusted to decrease energy usage by the HVAC system compared to the first temperature setpoint schedule. The HVAC system is then controlled via the thermostat during a second time period according to the second temperature setpoint schedule.