Methods and apparatus, including computer program products, are provided performance prediction. In one aspect there is provided a method. The method may include receiving information including one or more of a set of weights, a set of events, and a channel estimate, wherein at least one of the set of weights and the set of events are determined based on a optimization; and determining a transmitter configuration by performing at least one of: applying the set of weights to a set of pair wise error probabilities to determine a set of predicted bit error rates, and applying the set of events to the set of pair wise error probabilities to determine a set of predicted packet error rates. Related apparatus, systems, methods, and articles are also described.