Methods, systems and computer program products for predicting breakout artists and media content. Web content is scraped to identify web pages that include the name of an artist or media item and clusters the web pages into one or more headlines. The number of headlines for the artist or media item that occurred during a first time period and the number of content consumers who played the artist or media item during the first time period and during a second time period are counted. A breakout value is, in turn, calculated for the artist or media item using the number of headlines over the first time period, the number of content consumers during the first time period and the number of content consumers during the second time period.