Estimation of direct arrival signals based on predicted direct arrival signals and measurements can include obtaining notional source signatures for notional sources that correspond to source elements in a seismic source. A first predicted direct arrival signal at a first location and a second predicted direct arrival signal at a second location can be determined. The first location corresponds to a seismic receiver and the second location does not correspond to a seismic receiver. A transfer function can be determined based on the first predicted direct arrival signal at the first location and the second predicted direct arrival signal at the second location. An estimated direct arrival signal at the second location can be determined based on the transfer function and a measurement by the seismic receiver corresponding to the first location. The estimated direct arrival signal represents what a measured direct arrival signal would be at the second location.