A monitoring system includes an analytical engine system coupled to a sensor of an engine system. The analytical engine system is configured to receive data corresponding to operation of the engine system, to determine a distance metric corresponding to the operating parameters of the engine system, to compare the distance metric for a monitored lubricant temperature to a model threshold, and to generate a lubricant alert signal when the distance metric for the monitored lubricant temperature is greater than the model threshold. The received data includes the monitored lubricant temperature of a bearing and operating parameters of the engine system. The distance metric is based at least in part on the monitored lubricant temperature relative to a lubricant temperature statistical model, which is based at least in part on the operating parameters of the engine system.