Embodiments of the present invention disclose a method, computer program product, and system for estimating the results of a performance test on an updated software application. A method, the method comprising receiving an updated software application, wherein the size of the updated software application is a first size and generating a plurality of small probe, wherein the size of each of the small probe data is a second size, wherein the second size is less than the first size. Conducting a first performance test on the plurality of small probe data and calculating an estimated elapsed time for a performance test on the updated software application. Conducting the performance test on the updated software application and determining if the updated software is given a PASS or FAIL for the performance test, based in part on the elapsed time of the performance test on the updated software application.