A prediction device for at least one brake system component of a brake system of a vehicle. The prediction device is configured to enter provided value pairs, which respectively have values ascertained during several driver-induced and/or autonomous braking processes of the vehicle and respectively comprise an ascertained input variable and a simultaneously ascertained output variable, into a coordinate system, divided into several state sectors, with the first axis indicating the input variable and the second axis indicating the output variable; to ascertain a frequency distribution of the value pairs to the various state sectors; and, after at least two ascertainments of frequency distributions for value pairs ascertained in different time intervals, to estimate whether an occurrence of at least one functional impairment on at least one brake system component of the brake system is probable during a specified prediction time interval.