Systems and methods for modeling gas desorption in a subterranean reservoir include measuring a gas sorption parameter using a crushed core sample from the subterranean reservoir; computing a gas storage capacity of the subterranean reservoir at an initial reservoir pressure based on the gas sorption parameter; generating a three-dimensional (3D) distribution of total organic carbon (TOC) in the subterranean reservoir; estimating a 3D distribution of original adsorbed gas in place of the subterranean reservoir by correlating the gas storage capacity with the 3D distribution of TOC; and predicting the amount of gas desorbed from the subterranean reservoir as the reservoir is depleted.