The invention comprises a method and apparatus for determining a network connectivity in a network having a plurality of nodes. In particular, one embodiment of the method includes generating a candidate link for each of a plurality of node pairs, predicting a performance of each candidate link by evaluating an expected impact of at least one condition on each candidate link, and determining the network topology using the predicted performances of the candidate links. The performance of each candidate link may be predicted by identifying at least one condition, determining the expected impact of the at least one condition on the candidate link, and predicting the performance of the candidate link by adjusting an expected performance of the candidate link using the expected impact of the at least one condition on the candidate link.