A predictive model for building energy consumption may be constructed and run to predict energy consumption in a building or to detect anomaly in energy consumption in a building or combinations thereof. Historic energy consumption data associated with energy consumed in a building may be received. Enthalpy of air outside the building may be determined. An energy consumption model may be calibrated based on the historic energy consumption data and the enthalpy of air outside the building. The energy consumption model incorporates enthalpy difference between a balance enthalpy and the enthalpy of air outside the building.