公开(公告)号：US929490A

公开(公告)日：1909-07-27

申请号：US1908443178

申请日：1908-07-13

Applicant: REED EDWARDS A

Inventor： REED EDWARDS A

CPC classification number: B07B1/30

公开(公告)号：US07698233B1

公开(公告)日：2010-04-13

申请号：US11626002

申请日：2007-01-23

Applicant: Reed Edwards ,  James Clyde McNeely, Sr. ,  Kevin Daniel Carden ,  Vance Mullis

Inventor： Reed Edwards ,  James Clyde McNeely, Sr. ,  Kevin Daniel Carden ,  Vance Mullis

IPC: G06F17/00 ,  G06F17/30 ,  G05D17/00

CPC classification number: G06Q10/06 ,  G06Q10/04 ,  G06Q50/06

Abstract: A method, system and program product for quantifying a risk of an expected unserved energy in an energy generation system using a digital simulation. An energy load demand forecast is generated based at least in part on a weather year model. A plurality of energy generation resources are committed to meet the energy load demand. An operating status is determined for each committed energy generation resource in the energy generation system. A determination is made as to whether or not the committed resources are sufficient to meet the energy load demand. A dispatch order for a plurality of additional energy resources is selected if the committed resources are not sufficient to meet the energy load demand. Additional resources are committed based on the selected dispatch order until the energy load demand is met. The expected unserved energy is determined and an equivalent amount of energy load demand is shed based at least in part on an expected duration of unserved energy and a customer class grouping. An associated cost for the expected unserved energy is also determined.

Abstract translation: 一种用于在使用数字模拟的能量生成系统中量化预期未服务能量的风险的方法，系统和程序产品。 至少部分地基于天气年模型产生能量负荷需求预测。 致力于满足能量负荷需求的多种能源发电资源。 确定能量生成系统中每个承诺能量产生资源的运行状态。 确定承诺的资源是否足以满足能源负荷需求。 如果承诺的资源不足以满足能量负载需求，则选择用于多个附加能量资源的调度顺序。 根据选定的调度顺序提交额外的资源，直到达到能量负载需求为止。 至少部分地基于未服务能量的预期持续时间和客户类别分组来确定预期的未服务能量并且等效量的能量负载需求。 还确定了预期未服务能量的相关成本。