SYSTEMS, METHODS, AND STORAGE MEDIA FOR FORECASTING AIRCRAFT OPERATION DATA

    公开(公告)号:US20240312350A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-09-19

    申请号:US18329901

    申请日:2023-06-06

    CPC classification number: G08G5/003 G08G5/0017

    Abstract: A method of forecasting operation data of an aircraft includes receiving, by a computer system, historical flight data of the aircraft, the historical flight data including historical departure and arrival airports, and historical period of flight occurrence, calculating a transition probability matrix based on the historical flight data, determining, based on the transition probability, using a hidden Markov model (HMM), forecasted arrival airports, and time of arrival of the aircraft to the arrival airports to build a forecasted sequence of future routes, receiving, past aircraft sensor parameters, calculating, using a bootstrapping procedure based on the past aircraft sensor parameters and the forecasted sequence of future routes, forecast future aircraft operational data, and determining, based on the forecast future aircraft operational data, a maintenance schedule of one or more systems of the aircraft to prevent failure of the one or more system.

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