EVALUATING MODELS THAT RELY ON AGGREGATE HISTORICAL DATA

    公开(公告)号:US20190087469A1

    公开(公告)日:2019-03-21

    申请号:US15707594

    申请日:2017-09-18

    Applicant: Google Inc.

    Abstract: Systems and methods for model validation includes generating a first and a second time series of segmentation states for a data set representative of a simulated population, e.g., a collection of membership counts corresponding to respective segments of the simulated population. The first and second time series of segmentation states are generated by respectively processing the data set through a first and a second simulation each comprising iterative application of a plurality of event functions. The first and the second simulation differ in at least one capacity, e.g., one including a first event function configured with a first parameter, and the second not. Analysis of differences between the first and second time series may be compared to analysis of one of the time series using a subject model. The comparison is then used to validate the model or demonstrate accuracies, inaccuracies, and/or model bias with respect to a performance metric.

    Evaluating models that rely on aggregate historical data

    公开(公告)号:US10719521B2

    公开(公告)日:2020-07-21

    申请号:US15707594

    申请日:2017-09-18

    Applicant: Google Inc.

    Abstract: Systems and methods for model validation includes generating a first and a second time series of segmentation states for a data set representative of a simulated population, e.g., a collection of membership counts corresponding to respective segments of the simulated population. The first and second time series of segmentation states are generated by respectively processing the data set through a first and a second simulation each comprising iterative application of a plurality of event functions. The first and the second simulation differ in at least one capacity, e.g., one including a first event function configured with a first parameter, and the second not. Analysis of differences between the first and second time series may be compared to analysis of one of the time series using a subject model. The comparison is then used to validate the model or demonstrate accuracies, inaccuracies, and/or model bias with respect to a performance metric.

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