Self-Adapting Forecasting For Multi-Horizon Forecasting Machine Learning Models

    公开(公告)号:US20230110117A1

    公开(公告)日:2023-04-13

    申请号:US17954978

    申请日:2022-09-28

    Applicant: Google LLC

    Abstract: Aspects of the disclosure provide for self-adapting forecasting (SAF) during the training and execution of machine learning models trained for multi-horizon forecasting on time-series data. The distribution of time-series data can shift over different periods of time. A deep neural network and other types of machine learning models are trained assuming that training data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.). With a computer system configured to execute SAF, the system can, at inference time, update a trained encoder to generate an encoded representation of time-series data capturing features characterizing the current distribution of the input time-series data. The updated encoded representation can be fed into a decoder trained to generate a multi-horizon forecast based on the updated encoded representation of the time-series data. At each instance of inference, the base weights of a trained model can be reused and updated to generate an updated encoded representation for that instance.

    Processing Multi-Horizon Forecasts For Time Series Data

    公开(公告)号:US20230018125A1

    公开(公告)日:2023-01-19

    申请号:US17782865

    申请日:2020-11-25

    Applicant: Google LLC

    Abstract: Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer storage media, for performing multi-horizon forecasting on time-series data. A method includes determining short-term temporal characteristics for respective forecasting horizons of one or more time-steps. The determining can include generating, using RNN encoders, encoder vectors based on static covariates, and time-varying input data; and predicting using one or more RNN decoders, a short-term pattern for a respective future time period. The method can also include capturing long-term temporal characteristics for the respective forecasting horizons based on the static covariates, the time-varying input data captured during the respective past time-periods, and the time-varying known future input data.

    Deep Neural Network Learning With Controllable Rules

    公开(公告)号:US20220245451A1

    公开(公告)日:2022-08-04

    申请号:US17591845

    申请日:2022-02-03

    Applicant: Google LLC

    Abstract: The present disclosure provides a method to integrate prior knowledge (referred to as rules) into deep learning in a way that can be controllable at inference without retraining or tuning the model. Deep Neural Networks with Controllable Rule Representations (DNN-CRR) incorporate a rule encoder into the model architecture, which is coupled with a corresponding rule-based objective for enabling a shared representation to be used in decision making by learning both the original task and the rule. DNN-CRR is agnostic to data type and encoder architecture and can be applied to any kind of rule defined for inputs and/or outputs. In real-world domains where incorporating rules is critical, such as prediction tasks in Physics, Retail, and Healthcare.

Patent Agency Ranking