A system for tracking a vehicle includes a transceiver configured to receive a first signal including first surveillance data from the vehicle at a first time, and receive a second signal from the vehicle at a second time. The system further includes processing circuitry configured to determine a first location and a first course of the vehicle at the first time based on the first surveillance data, and determine a change in power level from the first signal to the second signal. The processing circuitry is further configured to predict a maneuver for the vehicle based on the first location, the first course, and the change in power level from the first signal to the second signal.