Embodiments of the present systems and methods may provide techniques to predict the success or failure of a drug used for disease treatment. For example, a method of determining drug efficacy may include, for a plurality of patients, generating a directed acyclic graph from health related information of each patient comprising nodes representing a medical event of the patient, at least one first edge connecting the first node to an additional node, each additional edge connecting nodes representing two consecutive medical events, the edge having a weight based on a time difference between the two consecutive medical events, capturing a plurality of features from each directed acyclic graph, generating a binary graph classification model on captured features of each directed acyclic graph, determining a probability that a drug or treatment will be effective using the binary graph classification model, and determining a drug to be prescribed to a patient based on the determined probability.