Systems and methods for avoidance and correction of potentially adverse combustion states such as flame holding and flashback are disclosed. According to one embodiment of the disclosure, one or more sensors acquire sensor data from one or more sensors associated with combustion. An operational limit margin (OLM) is calculated using an OLM model and based at least in part on the sensor data. A determination is made as to the presence of a potentially adverse combustion state based at least in part on the OLM and the model. Once determined, corrective action may be taken to avoid an adverse combustion event prior to occurrence of the event.