A system and method for monitoring a road segment includes determining a geographic position of a vehicle in context of a digitized roadway map. A perceived point cloud and a mapped point cloud associated with the road segment are determined. An error vector is determined based upon a transformation between the mapped point cloud and the perceived point cloud. A first confidence interval is derived from a Gaussian process that is composed from past observations. A second confidence interval associated with a longitudinal dimension and a third confidence interval associated with a lateral dimension are determined based upon the mapped point cloud and the perceived point cloud. A Kalman filter analysis is executed to dynamically determine a position of the vehicle relative to the roadway map based upon the error vector, the first confidence interval, the second confidence interval, and the third confidence interval.