A method for determining a next hypoxia-inducible factor prolyl hydroxylase inhibitor (HIF-PHI) dosage for a first patient using a patient HIF-PHI model is provided. The method includes obtaining population patient data indicating HIF-PHI dosages and hemoglobin measurements for the patients. Then, virtual patient avatars are generated based on the population patient data. Each of the virtual patient avatars indicates a set of personalized model parameters for a HIF-PHI model. A plurality of HIF-PHI models are determined for the virtual patient avatars. Using the HIF-PHI models, one or more HIF-PHI treatment schemes for administering the HIF-PHI dosages is determined. Subsequently, the HIF-PHI treatment schemes along with a hematocrit and/or hemoglobin concentration for a patient are used to determine a next HIF-PHI dosage for the patient, and the next HIF-PHI dosage is administered for the patient.