Described herein are methods, devices, and systems for measuring a level of a disease (such as cancer), for example a fraction of nucleic acid molecules (such as cell-free DNA) in a sample from an individual that relate to diseased tissue (such as cancer tissue). Also described are methods, devices, and systems for measuring a presence, recurrence, progression, or regression of the disease in the individual. Certain methods include comparing, using nucleic acid sequencing data associated with the individual, a signal indicative of a rate at which sequenced loci selected from a personalized disease-associated small nucleotide variant (SNV) locus panel are derived from a diseased tissue to a background factor indicative of a sequencing false positive error rate, or a noise factor indicative of a sampling variance, across the selected loci.