A method for determining an effect of via/contact pattern density in via/contact etch rate of a wafer includes determining a neutral etchant species number flux intersecting each via/contact mouth as a function of local layout characteristics and determining variations in the neutral etchant species flux number as a function of the via/contact pattern density in a wafer scale. The comparison of these number fluxes provides the capability to discriminate an underetched or an overetched via/contact from normal vias/contacts satisfying an etch tolerance criterion. Chip designers can modify the layout design to minimize via/contact failures. Chip manufacturers can modify the etching process to minimize via/contact failures.