摘要:
A system may include a model library configured to model a safety system, wherein the model library comprises a plurality of subsystem models, and each of the plurality of subsystem models is configured to derive a reliability measure. The system further includes a fault tolerance input and a maintenance policy input. The system further includes a dynamic risk calculation engine (DRCE) configured to use a user-defined set of the plurality of subsystem models, the fault tolerance input and the maintenance policy input, to derive a system risk for an apparatus.
摘要:
A system may include a model library configured to model a safety system, wherein the model library comprises a plurality of subsystem models, and each of the plurality of subsystem models is configured to derive a reliability measure. The system further includes a fault tolerance input and a maintenance policy input. The system further includes a dynamic risk calculation engine (DRCE) configured to use a user-defined set of the plurality of subsystem models, the fault tolerance input and the maintenance policy input, to derive a system risk for an apparatus.
摘要:
A turbine performance diagnostic system creates a performance report for one or more turbines and includes an assessment module that receives operating data from at least one turbine and produces a performance report from the operating data. The assessment module includes a change detection module configured to determine when at least one parameter has changed beyond an associated threshold and generate an alarm and a root cause analyzer coupled to the change detection module that predicts a root cause of the alarm utilizing a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). The performance report includes an indication of the predicted root cause.
摘要:
A turbine performance diagnostic system creates a performance report for one or more turbines and includes an assessment module that receives operating data from at least one turbine and produces a performance report from the operating data. The assessment module includes a change detection module configured to determine when at least one parameter has changed beyond an associated threshold and generate an alarm and a root cause analyzer coupled to the change detection module that predicts a root cause of the alarm utilizing a Bayesian Belief Network (BBN). The performance report includes an indication of the predicted root cause.
摘要:
A system, in one embodiment, provides means for acquired measurements of one or more operating parameters of a turbine engine. The system further includes means for determining an estimated value of a performance parameter of interest at a current time based at least partially upon the acquired measurements, means for adjusting a deterioration model at the current time based on a historical set of estimated values from previous times, and means for forecasting performance changes in the turbine engine based on the adjusted deterioration model.
摘要:
Methods and systems for use in predicting wind turbine failures are provided. One example method includes determining a parametric profile for a component of a wind turbine from operating data of a plurality of wind turbines, determining an anomaly profile for the component of the wind turbine from anomaly alerts from a plurality of wind turbines, and determining a probability of failure for the component of the wind turbine based on the parametric profile and the anomaly profile. The parametric profile defines at least one parametric event associated with the component prior to failure of the component, and the anomaly profile defines at least one anomaly associated with the component prior to failure of the component.
摘要:
Methods and systems for use in predicting wind turbine failures are provided. One example method includes determining a parametric profile for a component of a wind turbine from operating data of a plurality of wind turbines, determining an anomaly profile for the component of the wind turbine from anomaly alerts from a plurality of wind turbines, and determining a probability of failure for the component of the wind turbine based on the parametric profile and the anomaly profile. The parametric profile defines at least one parametric event associated with the component prior to failure of the component, and the anomaly profile defines at least one anomaly associated with the component prior to failure of the component.