摘要:
A method and apparatus are provided for generating an indicator of potential for abrupt changes in rock strength in a particular wellbore. Forensic wellbore data is obtained from at least one previously drilled wellbore which is determined to be comparable to the target wellbore. An interfacial severity computer program is provided. The program consists of executable program instructions. It is adapted to utilize a plurality of wellbore parameters, including at least one forensic wellbore data element. The interfacial severity computer program is loaded onto a data processing system. At least the forensic wellbore data, and possibly other wellbore parameter data elements, are supplied as an input to the interfacial severity computer program. The data processing system is utilized to execute program instructions of the interfacial severity computer program. This applies the inputs to the interfacial severity computer program which produces an output and indicator of the potential for abrupt changes in rock strength in the particular target wellbore.