Abstract:
An approximate computation unit computes an approximate of a determinant of a Hessian matrix relating to observed data represented as a matrix. A variational probability computation unit computes a variational probability of a latent variable using the approximate of the determinant. A latent state removal unit removes a latent state based on a variational distribution. A parameter optimization unit optimizes a parameter for a criterion value that is defined as a lower bound of an approximate obtained by Laplace-approximating a marginal log-likelihood function with respect to an estimator for a complete variable, and computes the criterion value. A convergence determination unit determines whether or not the criterion value has converged.
Abstract:
An evaluation system 80 includes an evaluation unit 81 for evaluating, when there is a prediction model estimated using data generated from the true model, the optimal solution calculated from the prediction model in consideration of bias generated between evaluation based on the prediction model and evaluation based on the true model.
Abstract:
An accepting unit 81 accepts an optimization problem that can be formulated as BQP represented by zTAz+bTz by use of an n×n square matrix A and an n-dimensional vector b. A condition storage unit 82 stores characteristic conditions representing characteristics of a positive weighted directed graph. An optimization unit 83 transforms the optimization problem based on the characteristic conditions, and solves the accepted optimization problem by solving the transformed problem as a minimum cut problem of a network flow.
Abstract:
A region linear model optimization system optimizes a region linear model, and includes: a linear model setting unit 81 for setting for a partition a linear model to be applied to one of regions representing subspaces divided by the partition, the partition being an indicator function dividing an input space into two portions; and a region model calculation unit 82 for representing a model of each of the regions in the region linear model as a linear combination of the linear models to be applied to the respective regions.
Abstract:
Provided is a user information estimation system capable of estimating demographic information about a user of a prepaid mobile terminal. An estimation model generation means 21 generates, on the basis of information relating to a mobile terminal in which demographic information about a user is known, and the demographic information, an estimation model with demographic information as an objective variable, and information relating to a mobile terminal as an explanatory variable. An estimation means 22 applies information relating to a prepaid mobile terminal to the estimation model, to calculate an estimated value of demographic information about a user of the prepaid mobile terminal.
Abstract:
An accuracy estimation unit 91 estimates accuracy of a predictive model using an accuracy estimating model that is learned using, as an explanatory variable, all or part of one or more contexts each indicating a feature value representing an operation status of the predictive model at a first point of interest that is a past point in time of interest a learning period of the predictive model, and a parameter used to learn the predictive model and, as a response variable, an accuracy index in a period after the first point of interest. The accuracy estimation unit 91 calculates the context at a second point of interest that is a point in time after the first point of interest, and applies the calculated context to the accuracy estimating model to estimate the accuracy from the second point of interest onward.
Abstract:
An explanatory variable display means 81 extracts an explanatory variable used as a condition from a classification model classified by the condition for selecting a component used for prediction and displays the explanatory variable in association with any of dimensional axes of a multi-dimensional space in which a prediction value is displayed. A prediction value display means 82 specifies the component that corresponds to a position in the multi-dimensional space specified by each of the explanatory variables associated with the dimensional axis, and then, displays the prediction value calculated on the basis of the specified component, on the same position. A space display means 83 displays the multi-dimensional space that corresponds to the position in which the prediction value is displayed, in a mode that corresponds to the component used for calculating the prediction value.
Abstract:
A prediction data input unit 91 inputs prediction data that is one or more explanatory variables that are information likely to affect future sales. An exposure pattern generation unit 92 generates an exposure pattern which is an explanatory variable indicating the content of a commercial message scheduled to be performed during a period from predicted time to future prediction target time. A component determination unit 93 determines the component used for predicting the sales, on the basis of a hierarchical latent structure that is a structure in which latent variables are represented by a tree structure and components representing probability models are located at nodes of a lowest level of the tree structure, gating functions for determining a branch direction in the nodes of the hierarchical latent structure, and the prediction data and the exposure pattern. A sales prediction unit 94 predicts the sales on the basis of the component determined by the component determination unit 93 and of the prediction data and the exposure pattern.
Abstract:
Provided is a feature-value display system which can display a feature value of a node for accurate prediction of a state of the node in a graph structure or a network structure. The feature-value display system 1 displays the feature value of the current node, considering information generated on the basis of attribute information associated with the nodes adjacent to or closer to a current node in the graph structure or the network structure, as the feature value of the current node itself.
Abstract:
From learning data that expresses inter-node connection relationships that are expressed as a graph structure or a network structure, a vicinal node information acquisition unit 81 acquires edge information that indicates the connection relationship between one node and another node to which the one node connects. Using the acquired edge information and node feature information that indicates the features of the other node, a feature value calculation unit 82 calculates a feature value that is for the one node and that is to be used for prediction.