PREDICTIONS BASED ON ANALYSIS OF ONLINE ELECTRONIC MESSAGES
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    发明申请
    PREDICTIONS BASED ON ANALYSIS OF ONLINE ELECTRONIC MESSAGES 审中-公开
    基于在线电子消息分析的预测

    公开(公告)号:US20100257117A1

    公开(公告)日:2010-10-07

    申请号:US12417940

    申请日:2009-04-03

    IPC分类号: G06Q40/00 G06F17/30 G06N5/02

    摘要: A method includes receiving first online messages regarding a financial instrument, and first objective quantitative data that reflect respective first values of a target variable associated with the financial instrument. The first messages are analyzed to generate respective first sentiment scores reflecting respective sentiments expressed in the first messages regarding the financial instrument. An initial prediction model is generated for the target variable by analyzing the first sentiment scores and the associated first values of the target variable. Second messages and objective quantitative data are received and analyzed to generate second sentiment scores and an incremental prediction model. A refined prediction model is generated by combining the initial model with the incremental model. Third messages are received and analyzed to generate third sentiment scores, which are used as input to the refined model to predict a future value of the target variable, which is reported to a user.

    摘要翻译: 一种方法包括接收关于金融工具的第一在线消息,以及反映与金融工具相关联的目标变量的各自的第一值的第一客观定量数据。 分析第一消息以产生相应的第一情绪评分,反映在关于金融工具的第一消息中表达的相应情绪。 通过分析目标变量的第一情绪评分和相关联的第一个值,为目标变量生成初始预测模型。 接收和分析第二消息和客观量化数据,以生成第二情绪评分和增量预测模型。 通过将初始模型与增量模型相结合生成精确预测模型。 接收和分析第三个消息以产生第三情绪评分,其被用作精炼模型的输入,以预测向用户报告的目标变量的未来值。