公开(公告)号：US11227226B2

公开(公告)日：2022-01-18

申请号：US15783223

申请日：2017-10-13

Applicant: Adobe Inc.

Inventor： Eugene Chen ,  Zhenyu Yan ,  Xiaojing Dong

IPC: G06N7/00 ,  G06N5/04

Abstract: Methods, systems, and computer readable storage media are disclosed for generating joint-probabilistic ensemble forecasts for future events based on a plurality of different prediction models for the future events. For example, in one or more embodiments the disclosed system determines error values for various predictions from a plurality of different prediction models (i.e., “forecasters”) for previous events. Moreover, in one or more embodiments the system generates an error probability density function by mapping the error values to an error space and applying a kernel density estimation. Furthermore, the system can apply the error probability density function(s) to a plurality of predictions from the forecasters for a future event to generate a likelihood function and a new prediction for the future event.

公开(公告)号：US20190114554A1

公开(公告)日：2019-04-18

申请号：US15783223

申请日：2017-10-13

Applicant: Adobe Inc.

Inventor： Eugene Chen ,  Zhenyu Yan ,  Xiaojing Dong

IPC: G06N7/00 ,  G06N5/04

Abstract: Methods, systems, and computer readable storage media are disclosed for generating joint-probabilistic ensemble forecasts for future events based on a plurality of different prediction models for the future events. For example, in one or more embodiments the disclosed system determines error values for various predictions from a plurality of different prediction models (i.e., “forecasters”) for previous events. Moreover, in one or more embodiments the system generates an error probability density function by mapping the error values to an error space and applying a kernel density estimation. Furthermore, the system can apply the error probability density function(s) to a plurality of predictions from the forecasters for a future event to generate a likelihood function and a new prediction for the future event.