摘要:
A method and an arrangement are provided for predicting measurement data using given measurement data, in which a stochastic process is matched to the given measurement data. Simulation runs are carried out from a given time-point until a final time-point. The forecast measurement data is determined for each simulation run. Measurement data for the final time-point is predicted within a range of values, which is determined by the forecast measurement data.
摘要:
The faults are described using a fault description which comprises data which have been determined using failure modes and effects analysis. The fault description is extended by information regarding the dependency of possible faults and the frequency of occurrence of said faults. The extended fault description is used to ascertain, for a prescribed fault event, the fault tree and the frequency of occurrence of the fault event.
摘要:
A method analyzes risks in a technical project for developing or manufacturing a technical system or technical components or a technical process, wherein the following steps are carried out in a risk identification process: a) provision or determination of a large number of qualitative evaluations of risks in the technical project; b) determination of a large number of quantitative evaluations of the risks; c) comparison of the qualitative and quantitative evaluations for each risk, as a result of which a comparison outcome is established for each risk; d) definition of a permissible region of comparison outcomes; e) classification of the risks that are situated outside the permissible region as unacceptable risks; f) analysis of the unacceptable risks in order to identify uncertainties in the risk analysis and further risks.
摘要:
An evaluation is performed for a device, an application and/or a method, in particular a method for establishing a technical system such as a power plant for instance, the assessment being carried out on the basis of costs for risks. In accordance with the method, the costs for specific risks are to be assessed. A risk costs interval is to be determined, which contains the actual risk costs with high probability. This is achieved by a regression of intuitive assignments to a straight line by an indirect linear regression by a non-linear regression in an intermediate diagram.
摘要:
A method analyzes risks in a technical project for developing or manufacturing a technical system or technical components or a technical process, wherein the following steps are carried out in a risk identification process: a) provision or determination of a large number of qualitative evaluations of risks in the technical project; b) determination of a large number of quantitative evaluations of the risks; c) comparison of the qualitative and quantitative evaluations for each risk, as a result of which a comparison outcome is established for each risk; d) definition of a permissible region of comparison outcomes; e) classification of the risks that are situated outside the permissible region as implausible risks; f) analysis of the implausible risks in order to identify uncertainties in the risk analysis and further risks.