A method and a device for anticipating a reconnection, to a second access point, of a mobile station connected to a first access point that forms a wireless telecommunication network. The physical bit rate between the first access point and mobile station with respect to a reception power of a signal sent by a mobile station and received by the first access point from measurements of reception power of signals sent by the mobile station and received by the first access point, calculates physical bit rates between access points and mobile station. A rate of variation of the physical bit rates between access points and mobile stations from measurements obtained and from the modelling, an anticipation of physical bit rate between access points and the mobile stations and determines whether a reconnection of the station to the second access point must be made among other things from the calculated anticipations.