A method for obtaining an emission probability includes obtaining a plurality of measurement reports (MRs) of a terminal in a target region and an engineering parameter of at least one base station in the target region, obtaining, based on parameter information in each of the plurality of MRs and the engineering parameter of the at least one base station, a feature vector corresponding to each of the plurality of MRs, processing, using a regression model, location information in each of the plurality of MRs and the feature vector corresponding to each of the plurality of MRs, to obtain a single-point positioning model, calculating, based on the single-point positioning model, the location information in each of the plurality of MRs, and the feature vector corresponding to each of the plurality of MRs, an emission probability of the feature vector corresponding to each of the plurality of MRs.