UTILIZING JOINT-PROBABILISTIC ENSEMBLE FORECASTING TO GENERATE IMPROVED DIGITAL PREDICTIONS

    公开(公告)号:US20190114554A1

    公开(公告)日:2019-04-18

    申请号:US15783223

    申请日:2017-10-13

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: Methods, systems, and computer readable storage media are disclosed for generating joint-probabilistic ensemble forecasts for future events based on a plurality of different prediction models for the future events. For example, in one or more embodiments the disclosed system determines error values for various predictions from a plurality of different prediction models (i.e., “forecasters”) for previous events. Moreover, in one or more embodiments the system generates an error probability density function by mapping the error values to an error space and applying a kernel density estimation. Furthermore, the system can apply the error probability density function(s) to a plurality of predictions from the forecasters for a future event to generate a likelihood function and a new prediction for the future event.

    PRE-DEPLOYMENT USER JOURNEY EVALUATION

    公开(公告)号:US20250068800A1

    公开(公告)日:2025-02-27

    申请号:US18455005

    申请日:2023-08-24

    Applicant: ADOBE INC.

    Abstract: Systems and methods for pre-deployment user journey evaluation are described. Embodiments are configured to obtain a user journey including a plurality of touchpoints; generate a simulation agent including a plurality of attributes; generate a probability score for the simulation agent for each of the plurality of touchpoints based on the plurality of attributes using a machine learning model; perform a simulation of the user journey based on the probability score; and generate a text describing the user journey based on the simulation.

    GENERATING SUBJECT LINES FROM KEYWORDS UTILIZING A MACHINE-LEARNING MODEL

    公开(公告)号:US20240143941A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-05-02

    申请号:US18050285

    申请日:2022-10-27

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    CPC classification number: G06F40/40 G06F40/295 G06N3/08

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to systems, methods, and non-transitory computer readable media that utilize machine learning to generate subject lines from subject line keywords. In one or more embodiments, the disclosed systems receive, from a client device, one or more subject line keywords. Additionally, the disclosed systems generate, utilizing a subject generation machine-learning model having learned parameters, a subject line by selecting one or more words for the subject line from a word distribution based on the one or more subject line keywords. The disclosed systems further provide, for display on the client device, the subject line.

    Quantitative rating system for prioritizing customers by propensity and buy size

    公开(公告)号:US11636499B2

    公开(公告)日:2023-04-25

    申请号:US17577818

    申请日:2022-01-18

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: Quantitative rating systems and techniques are described that prioritize customers by propensity to buy and buy size to generate customer ratings. In one example, a propensity model is used to determine a likelihood of a potential customer to purchase a product, and a projected timeframe buy size for the potential customer is determined. An expected value for the potential customer is generated by combining the likelihood of the potential customer to purchase the product and the projected timeframe buy size. In another example, a ratio model of annualized recurring revenue (ARR) is used to determine a timeframe buy size for an existing customer in consecutive time frames. An upsell opportunity for the existing customer is determined based on the timeframe buy size less an ARR for a current time frame for the existing customer. A rating of the potential or existing customer is output in a user interface.

    OPTIMIZATION OF SEND TIME OF MESSAGES

    公开(公告)号:US20220309523A1

    公开(公告)日:2022-09-29

    申请号:US17664601

    申请日:2022-05-23

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: Introduced here are approaches for identifying the optimal send time for messages by accounting for hidden confounders, such as the content of those messages, delivery channel, etc. These approaches use a causal inference framework to discover and then remove the impact of hidden confounders. These approaches may be employed by a marketing and analytics platform (or simply “marketing platform”) that may be used to design, implement, or review digital marketing campaigns. The marketing platform can consider the send time as a treatment and then employ machine learning (ML) models that consider the send time, features of the recipient, and hidden confounders to produce a ranked series of send times with the effect of the hidden confounders marginalized. Approaches to performing offline evaluations that mimic A/B tests using data related to existing field experiments are also introduced here.

    Training and utilizing multi-phase learning models to provide digital content to client devices in a real-time digital bidding environment

    公开(公告)号:US11288709B2

    公开(公告)日:2022-03-29

    申请号:US15938449

    申请日:2018-03-28

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: The present disclosure includes systems, methods, and non-transitory computer readable media that train and utilize multi-phase learning models to predict performance during digital content campaigns and provide digital content to client devices in a real-time bidding environment. In particular, one or more embodiments leverage organizational structure of digital content campaigns to train two learning models, utilizing different data sources, to predict performance, generate bid responses, and provide digital content to client devices. For example, the disclosed systems can train a first performance learning model in an offline mode utilizing parent-level historical data. Then, in an online mode, the disclosed systems can train a second performance learning model utilizing child-level historical data and utilize the first performance learning model and the second performance learning model to generate bid responses and bid amounts in a real-time bidding environment.

    OPTIMIZATION OF SEND TIME OF MESSAGES

    公开(公告)号:US20210357952A1

    公开(公告)日:2021-11-18

    申请号:US16877385

    申请日:2020-05-18

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: Introduced here are approaches for identifying the optimal send time for messages by accounting for hidden confounders, such as the content of those messages, delivery channel, etc. These approaches use a causal inference framework to discover and then remove the impact of hidden confounders. These approaches may be employed by a marketing and analytics platform (or simply “marketing platform”) that may be used to design, implement, or review digital marketing campaigns. The marketing platform can consider the send time as a treatment and then employ machine learning (ML) models that consider the send time, features of the recipient, and hidden confounders to produce a ranked series of send times with the effect of the hidden confounders marginalized. Approaches to performing offline evaluations that mimic A/B tests using data related to existing field experiments are also introduced here.

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