EXPERIMENTALLY VALIDATING CAUSAL GRAPHS
    1.
    发明公开

    公开(公告)号:US20240028669A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-01-25

    申请号:US17814394

    申请日:2022-07-22

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    CPC classification number: G06K9/6297 G06N7/005

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to systems, methods, and non-transitory computer-readable media that verify causal graphs utilizing nodes from corresponding Markov equivalence classes. For instance, in one or more embodiments, the disclosed systems receive a causal graph to be validated and a Markov equivalence class that corresponds to the causal graph. Additionally, the disclosed systems determine an intervention set using the causal graph, the intervention set comprising nodes from the Markov equivalence class. Using a plurality of interventions on the nodes of the intervention set, the disclosed systems determine whether the causal graph is valid.

    Systems for Estimating Terminal Event Likelihood

    公开(公告)号:US20230051416A1

    公开(公告)日:2023-02-16

    申请号:US17402788

    申请日:2021-08-16

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: In implementations of systems for estimating terminal event likelihood, a computing device implements a termination system to receive observed data describing values of a treatment metric and indications of a terminal event. Values of the treatment metric are grouped into groups using a mixture model that represents the treatment metric as a mixture of distributions. Parameters of a distribution are estimated for each of the groups and mixing proportions are also estimated for each of the groups. In response to receiving a user input requesting an estimate of a likelihood of the terminal event for a particular value of the treatment metric, the termination system generates an indication of the estimate of the likelihood of the terminal event for the particular value based on a distribution density at the particular value for each of the groups and a probability of including the particular value in each of the groups.

    Systems for estimating terminal event likelihood

    公开(公告)号:US12154042B2

    公开(公告)日:2024-11-26

    申请号:US17402788

    申请日:2021-08-16

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: In implementations of systems for estimating terminal event likelihood, a computing device implements a termination system to receive observed data describing values of a treatment metric and indications of a terminal event. Values of the treatment metric are grouped into groups using a mixture model that represents the treatment metric as a mixture of distributions. Parameters of a distribution are estimated for each of the groups and mixing proportions are also estimated for each of the groups. In response to receiving a user input requesting an estimate of a likelihood of the terminal event for a particular value of the treatment metric, the termination system generates an indication of the estimate of the likelihood of the terminal event for the particular value based on a distribution density at the particular value for each of the groups and a probability of including the particular value in each of the groups.

    GENERATING VISUALIZATIONS OF ANALYTICAL CAUSAL GRAPHS

    公开(公告)号:US20220139010A1

    公开(公告)日:2022-05-05

    申请号:US17083702

    申请日:2020-10-29

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: The present disclosure describes systems, methods, and non-transitory computer readable media for generating and providing a causal-graph interface that visually depicts causal relationships among dimensions and represents uncertainty metrics for such relationships as part of a streamlined visualization of a causal graph. The disclosed systems can determine causality among dimensions of multidimensional data and determine uncertainty metrics associated with individual causal relationships. Additionally, the disclosed system can generate a visual representation of a causal graph with nodes arranged in stratified layers and can connect the layered nodes with uncertainty-aware-causal edges to represent both the causality between the dimensions and the uncertainty metrics. Further, the disclosed systems can provide interactive tools for generating and visualizing predictions or causal relationships in intuitive user interfaces, such as visualizations for dimension-specific (or dimension-value-specific) interventions and/or attribution determinations.

    Generating visualizations of analytical causal graphs

    公开(公告)号:US11321885B1

    公开(公告)日:2022-05-03

    申请号:US17083702

    申请日:2020-10-29

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: The present disclosure describes systems, methods, and non-transitory computer readable media for generating and providing a causal-graph interface that visually depicts causal relationships among dimensions and represents uncertainty metrics for such relationships as part of a streamlined visualization of a causal graph. The disclosed systems can determine causality among dimensions of multidimensional data and determine uncertainty metrics associated with individual causal relationships. Additionally, the disclosed system can generate a visual representation of a causal graph with nodes arranged in stratified layers and can connect the layered nodes with uncertainty-aware-causal edges to represent both the causality between the dimensions and the uncertainty metrics. Further, the disclosed systems can provide interactive tools for generating and visualizing predictions or causal relationships in intuitive user interfaces, such as visualizations for dimension-specific (or dimension-value-specific) interventions and/or attribution determinations.

    DETERMINING FEATURE CONTRIBUTIONS TO DATA METRICS UTILIZING A CAUSAL DEPENDENCY MODEL

    公开(公告)号:US20210279230A1

    公开(公告)日:2021-09-09

    申请号:US16813424

    申请日:2020-03-09

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to methods, systems, and non-transitory computer-readable media for determining causal contributions of dimension values to anomalous data based on causal effects of such dimension values on the occurrence of other dimension values from interventions performed in a causal graph. For example, the disclosed systems can identify an anomalous dimension value that reflects a threshold change in value between an anomalous time period and a reference time period. The disclosed systems can determine causal effects by traversing a causal network representing dependencies between different dimensions associated with the dimension values. Based on the causal effects, the disclosed systems can determine causal contributions of particular dimension values on the anomalous dimension value. Further, the disclosed systems can generate a causal-contribution ranking of the particular dimension values based on the determined causal contributions.

    DETERMINING FEATURE CONTRIBUTIONS TO DATA METRICS UTILIZING A CAUSAL DEPENDENCY MODEL

    公开(公告)号:US20240061830A1

    公开(公告)日:2024-02-22

    申请号:US18492551

    申请日:2023-10-23

    Applicant: Adobe Inc.

    CPC classification number: G06F16/2365

    Abstract: The present disclosure relates to methods, systems, and non-transitory computer-readable media for determining causal contributions of dimension values to anomalous data based on causal effects of such dimension values on the occurrence of other dimension values from interventions performed in a causal graph. For example, the disclosed systems can identify an anomalous dimension value that reflects a threshold change in value between an anomalous time period and a reference time period. The disclosed systems can determine causal effects by traversing a causal network representing dependencies between different dimensions associated with the dimension values. Based on the causal effects, the disclosed systems can determine causal contributions of particular dimension values on the anomalous dimension value. Further, the disclosed systems can generate a causal-contribution ranking of the particular dimension values based on the determined causal contributions.

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