Inferring user demographics from user behavior using Bayesian inference

    公开(公告)号:US10692127B1

    公开(公告)日:2020-06-23

    申请号:US15292042

    申请日:2016-10-12

    Abstract: Systems and methods are provided for determining or predicting user demographic information using user behaviors through a Bayesian inference. A computing system may determine demographic information (such as age or gender) of a user based on a Bayesian update and a purchase or other user action by the user. In some embodiments, the computing system may determine the household composition of a user account based on multiple purchases by the user account. The computing system may generate recommendations for the user or the user account based on the demographic information of the user or the household composition of the user account.

    Uplift modeling with importance weighting

    公开(公告)号:US10699203B1

    公开(公告)日:2020-06-30

    申请号:US15272075

    申请日:2016-09-21

    Abstract: Systems are provided to select targets for communications, designed to cause or provoke the targets to perform a desired action, using bias-corrected models that predict the effect of such communications on the targets. Data regarding previous actions taken by potential targets for communications—also referred to as “candidates”—can be analyzed to determine whether there is a difference in actions taken by candidates who have received prior communications in comparison with candidates who have not received the prior communications. Biases in the selection of candidates to receive the prior communications can be corrected by weighting the data associated with the selected candidates to more closely match the distribution of candidates not selected to receive the prior communications.

    Attribution of multi-channel communications

    公开(公告)号:US10447647B1

    公开(公告)日:2019-10-15

    申请号:US15345274

    申请日:2016-11-07

    Abstract: Systems and methods are described for attributing credit to individual channels for messages delivered via multi-channel communications. A message may be delivered to a recipient via multiple delivery channels, and the recipient may engage in a conversion event or activity associated with receipt of the message. Each delivery of the message may partially contribute to causing the conversion event, and the incremental contribution of each delivery may be determined. A probability of conversion may be determined based on past message deliveries involving the same or similar messages, recipients, and channels. An impressions path may be generated based on the past message deliveries, and subpaths of the impressions path may be used to isolate the contribution of individual message impressions.

    Selection of multi-channel communciations

    公开(公告)号:US10375010B1

    公开(公告)日:2019-08-06

    申请号:US15345320

    申请日:2016-11-07

    Abstract: Systems and methods are described for selecting recipients, channels, and messages for delivery via multi-channel communications. A message may be delivered to a recipient via multiple delivery channels, and the recipient may engage in a conversion event or activity associated with the message. Each potential delivery of the message may be associated with an incremental probability of causing the conversion event. The incremental probabilities may be used to determine the channel and recipient with the highest incremental probability of causing a conversion event for a given message, the recipient and message having the highest incremental probability of causing a conversion event when delivered via a given channel, and other combinations. Profiles may be used to compare messages, channels, and recipients in order to predict incremental probabilities, and messaging resources may be allocated according to budgets, cost-benefit analyses, or other criteria.

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