公开(公告)号：US20070156510A1

公开(公告)日：2007-07-05

申请号：US11614258

申请日：2006-12-21

申请人： Edward Kim ,  Jean-Philippe Vorsanger ,  Jinsheng Gao ,  Mazhar Khan

发明人： Edward Kim ,  Jean-Philippe Vorsanger ,  Jinsheng Gao ,  Mazhar Khan

IPC分类号： G06F17/30

CPC分类号： G06Q10/04 ,  G06Q30/02 ,  G06Q30/0202

摘要： A method has been devised to produce a Confidence Prediction metric which gives the business user some indication as to the future reliability of the current week's forecast. The forecasting method analyzes historical demand data and prior product demand forecasts to calculate forecast errors for the prior product demand forecasts, and determine a confidence level for current and future product demand forecasts, the confidence level providing an indication of whether a given product forecast is unreliable or not. Reliable product demand forecasts can be automatically passed to a purchase order system, while unreliable forecasts may need to be reviewed and adjusted manually. A method for assessing, before-hand, whether a given product's forecast is reliable has been devised.

摘要翻译： 已经设计了一种产生可信度预测度量的方法，其给予业务用户关于当前本周预测的未来可靠性的一些指示。 预测方法分析历史需求数据和先前产品需求预测，以计算先前产品需求预测的预测误差，并确定当前和未来产品需求预测的置信水平，置信水平提供给定产品预测是否不可靠 或不。 可靠的产品需求预测可以自动传递到采购订单系统，而不可靠的预测可能需要手动审核和调整。 已经设计了一种用于评估给定产品的预测是否可靠的方法。