A method, apparatus and computer program product for determining a road work event confidence are described herein. In the context of a method, the method may determine a road network speed profile corresponding with a road work event location. The method may determine, based at least in part on probe data corresponding with the road work event location, a probe speed profile. The method may determine the road work event confidence based at least in part on evaluation of the road network speed profile and the probe speed profile. Evaluation of the road network speed profile and the probe speed profile may comprise identifying a plurality of road segments corresponding with the road work event location and correlating road network speed profile characteristics and probe data characteristics for each respective road segment.