Abstract:
Techniques are described herein for using an impression-trend technique to provide a display advertising supply forecast. A display advertising supply forecast is an estimate of a number of impressions, which are to occur in a future time period, that have specified attribute values. For example, the specified attribute values may be descriptive of impressions with respect to which an advertiser wishes to place ads. An impression-trend technique is a forecasting technique that uses trends regarding past impressions to forecast a number of future impressions that have specified attribute values. The past impressions include attribute values that are related to the specified attribute values.
Abstract:
Systems and methods for automatically forecasting the future availability of one or more resources, such as Internet advertising opportunities, are described herein. In accordance with various embodiments, a forecasting model that accounts for event-driven resource availability is trained based both on historical supply data and calendar information specifying events and event duration. The trained forecasting model is then used to forecast the availability of resources at one or more specified future time periods. In accordance with certain embodiments, the forecasting model comprises a Gaussian process model that has an event-driven kernel as a covariance function.
Abstract:
A simulation framework for evaluating revenue that may use a pricing engine that runs at least one pricing algorithm with particular configurations and under particular model market conditions to provide revenue projections.
Abstract:
An improved system and method for forecasting an inventory of online advertisement impressions by sampling in a map-reduce framework is provided. In a map-reduce framework, samples of visitor profiles may be collected and matched to targeting profiles for displaying advertisements by distributed sample mappers. Sets of samples of visitor profiles matched to the targeting profiles may be mapped and distributed to reducer servers for integrating the samples collected by sample mappers into a reduction sample set for each targeting profile. Each reducer server may aggregate a count of samples of visitor profiles matched to a targeting profile, and the sets of samples of visitor profiles matched to a targeting profile may be integrated into a reduction sample set for each targeting profile. The sample reducers may forecast a targeting profile inventory for each targeting profile and output the targeting profile inventory with a reduction sample set of visitor profiles.
Abstract:
A system for advertisement inventory allocation is disclosed, including a database to store advertisement impressions. An indexer builds a plurality of index tables each associated with an attribute that is mapped to a plurality of the impressions. An impression matcher constructs a flow network including a plurality of nodes each containing impressions of at least one corresponding attribute projected to be available during a time period, a plurality of contracts each including specific requests for impressions that satisfy a demand profile during the time period, and a plurality of arcs to connect the plurality of nodes to the plurality of contracts that match the demand profile of each contract. An optimizer optimally allocates impressions from the nodes to the contracts during the time period by solving the flow network with a minimum-cost network flow algorithm that maximizes delivery of the impressions to the contracts in a way that satisfies the corresponding demand profiles and that specifies a number of impressions to flow over each of the plurality of arcs.
Abstract:
Methods and systems are disclosed which allow shifting inventory to fulfill guaranteed delivery advertisement contracts. Inventory may be allocated from a supply of unallocated inventory to one or more advertisers in accordance with guaranteed delivery agreements. Inventory may be reserved for the one or more advertisers from the remaining supply of unallocated inventory. Inventory may then be allocated to an additional advertiser by using unallocated inventory or shifted inventory, or a combination of unallocated inventory and shifted inventory. The shifted inventory is shifted out of the allocation for the first advertiser and the shifted inventory is replaced by the reserve inventory for the respective advertiser.
Abstract:
Methods and systems are disclosed which allow shifting inventory to fulfill guaranteed delivery advertisement contracts. Inventory may be allocated from a supply of unallocated inventory to one or more advertisers in accordance with guaranteed delivery agreements. Inventory may be reserved for the one or more advertisers from the remaining supply of unallocated inventory. Inventory may then be allocated to an additional advertiser by using unallocated inventory or shifted inventory, or a combination of unallocated inventory and shifted inventory. The shifted inventory is shifted out of the allocation for the first advertiser and the shifted inventory is replaced by the reserve inventory for the respective advertiser.
Abstract:
The present application provides systems and corresponding methods for creating a delivery allocation plan in a network-based environment. The methods may include receiving and storing advertising contracts and data related to the advertising contracts; constructing a bipartite graph based on the received contract data; annotating each demand node; and receiving impression data and other eligible contract data. Thereafter, the method may include for each impression, calculating a first supply value and for each contract, calculating a first demand value. The first demand value may be used to calculate a second supply value and a delivery allocation may be calculated using the second supply value and the second demand value for each contract.
Abstract:
Systems and methods for automatically forecasting the future availability of one or more resources, such as Internet advertising opportunities, are described herein. In accordance with various embodiments, a forecasting model that accounts for event-driven resource availability is trained based both on historical supply data and calendar information specifying events and event duration. The trained forecasting model is then used to forecast the availability of resources at one or more specified future time periods. In accordance with certain embodiments, the forecasting model comprises a Gaussian process model that has an event-driven kernel as a covariance function.
Abstract:
Disclosed is a system to forecast a supply of online advertising demand contracts having day parting targets. The system may receive an online advertising demand contract having a flight duration and a day parting target. The received online advertising demand contract may be processed by converting the day parting target into an hour-of-week day parting target vector. If a first day of the flight duration would generate a conflict in view of the hour-of-week day parting target vector, then the system may generate a new first day contract for the first day of the flight duration.