Abstract:
A classifying neural network (CNN) obtains a mixed data set of a priori information and outcomes information for treated units and untreated units. Classify units as treated or untreated, by running the CNN on the a priori information. Deliver a latent representation of the classified units from an intermediate layer of the CNN to a self-organizing map (SOM) engine. Generate an SOM based on the latent representation. Train the CNN to optimize a combined total loss of the classification and of the SOM. Estimate average treatment effect on the treated units by comparing the outcome information of the treated units to outcome information for untreated units that are nearest-neighbors of the treated units on the SOM.
Abstract:
A computer-implemented method of discovering a composite durational event structure through temporal logic includes identifying a plurality of temporally related atomic events from temporal data trajectories of a multivariate dataset according to a definition of an atomic event predicate. At least one composite event having a durational event structure of at least some of the plurality of the temporally related atomic events is discovered by machine learning. An action is performed that is selected from a predetermined list associated with the composite event.
Abstract:
In an approach for real-time opportunity discovery for productivity enhancement of a production process, a processor extracts a set of features from time series data, through autoencoding using a neural network, based on non-control variables for the time series data. A processor identifies one or more operational modes based on the extracted features including a dimensional reduction with a representation learning from the time series data. A processor identifies a neighborhood of a current operational state based on the extracted features. A processor compares the current operational state to historical operational states based on the time series data at the same operational mode. A processor discovers an operational opportunity based on the comparison of the current operational state to the historical operational states using the neighborhood. A processor identifies control variables in the same mode which variables are relevant to the current operational state.
Abstract:
Methods and systems for determining a reallocation of resources are described. A device may determine initial allocation data that indicates a first amount of resources allocated to a plurality of areas. The device may determine a set of attacker expected rewards based on the initial allocation data. The device may determine a set of defender expected rewards based on the attacker expected rewards. The device may determine moving rewards indicating defensive scores in response to movement of the resources among the plurality of areas. The device may determine defender response rewards indicating defensive scores resulting from an optimal attack on the plurality of areas. The device may generate reallocation data indicating an allocation of a second amount of resources to the plurality of areas. The second amount of resources may maximize the moving rewards and the defender response rewards.
Abstract:
A method of discovering and presenting associations between events includes discovering causal association scores for pairs of events in an event dataset, and generating a sequence of events based on the causal association scores.
Abstract:
Methods and systems for determining a reallocation of resources are described. A device may determine initial allocation data that indicates a first amount of resources allocated to a plurality of areas. The device may determine a set of attacker expected rewards based on the initial allocation data. The device may determine a set of defender expected rewards based on the attacker expected rewards. The device may determine moving rewards indicating defensive scores in response to movement of the resources among the plurality of areas. The device may determine defender response rewards indicating defensive scores resulting from an optimal attack on the plurality of areas. The device may generate reallocation data indicating an allocation of a second amount of resources to the plurality of areas. The second amount of resources may maximize the moving rewards and the defender response rewards.
Abstract:
A task effort estimator may determine a probability distribution of an estimated effort needed to complete unfinished tasks in a project based on one or more of a set of completed tasks belonging to a project and attributes associated with the completed tasks belonging to the project, a set of completed tasks not belonging to the project and attributes associated with the completed tasks not belonging to the project, or the combination of both. A project completion predictor may determine a probability distribution of completion time for the project based on the probability distribution of an estimated effort needed to complete the unfinished tasks in the project, and one or more resource and scheduling constraints associated with the project.
Abstract:
A method including, for a set of historical and/or ongoing business initiatives, determining key negative and positive performance factors by a computer from a structured taxonomy of negative and positive performance factors stored in a memory; modeling at least one of the performance factors for the ongoing business initiative or a new business initiative at at least one level of the hierarchical taxonomy. The key negative and positive performance factors are modeled based, at least partially, upon a likelihood of occurrence of the key negative performance factors during the business initiative, and based, at least partially, upon potential impact of the key performance factors on the business initiative. The method further includes providing the modeled performance factors in a report to a user, where the report identifies the modeled performance factors, and the potential impact of the at least one modeled performance factor.
Abstract:
Techniques are provided for dynamic prediction-based regression optimization. In one embodiment, the techniques involve determining, via a process model, a variable state of the process model, wherein the variable state includes a first input state variable, a first output state variable, and a first control parameter, generating, via a short-term prediction module, a first prediction of a first update of the variable state, generating, via a terminal value prediction module, a second prediction of a second update to the variable state, generating, via a control optimization module, a second control parameter based on the first prediction and the second prediction, and controlling, via a processor, a production process of the process model based on the second control parameter.
Abstract:
Methods and systems for tuning a model include generating pipelines. The pipelines have elements that include at least an agent, a foundation model, and a tuning type. Hyperparameters of elements of the pipelines are set in accordance with an input task. Elements of the pipelines are tuned in accordance with the input task. The input task is performed using a highest-performance pipeline.