Hierarchical generation of booking probability

    公开(公告)号:US11308564B2

    公开(公告)日:2022-04-19

    申请号:US16214359

    申请日:2018-12-10

    申请人: Airbnb, Inc.

    发明人: Peng Ye Fan Yang

    IPC分类号: G06Q30/02 G06Q50/14 G06N20/00

    摘要: Systems and methods are provided for extracting a plurality of features for a listing from a datastore comprising a plurality of listings and a plurality of features for each of the plurality of listings, determining a cluster of similar listings to the listing and generating a set of cluster features for the cluster of similar listings, analyzing the set of cluster features for the cluster of similar listings based on a booking price, using a first trained machine learning model to determine a cluster-level probability of booking the listing on the given date, analyzing the plurality of features for the listing using the booking price, using a second trained machine learning model to determine a listing-level probability of booking the listing on the given date, and generating a final probability of booking by combining the cluster-level probability of booking and the listing-level probability of booking.

    REGRESSION-TREE COMPRESSED FEATURE VECTOR MACHINE FOR TIME-EXPIRING INVENTORY UTILIZATION PREDICTION

    公开(公告)号:US20170308846A1

    公开(公告)日:2017-10-26

    申请号:US15482453

    申请日:2017-04-07

    申请人: Airbnb, Inc.

    摘要: This disclosure includes systems for regression-tree-modified feature vector machine learning models for utilization prediction in time-expiring inventory. An online computing system receives a feature vector for a listing and inputs the feature vector and modified feature vectors into a demand function to generate demand estimates. The system inputs the demand estimates into a likelihood model to generate a set of request likelihoods, each request likelihood representing a likelihood that the time-expiring inventory will receive a transaction request at each of a set of test price and test times to expiration. The system further trains a regression tree model based on a set of training data comprising each of the request likelihoods from the set and the test price and test time period to expiration used to generate the demand estimate that was used to generate the request likelihood.

    REGRESSION-TREE COMPRESSED FEATURE VECTOR MACHINE FOR TIME-EXPIRING INVENTORY UTILIZATION PREDICTION

    公开(公告)号:US20200090116A1

    公开(公告)日:2020-03-19

    申请号:US16688569

    申请日:2019-11-19

    申请人: Airbnb, Inc.

    摘要: This disclosure includes systems for regression-tree-modified feature vector machine learning models for utilization prediction in time-expiring inventory. An online computing system receives a feature vector for a listing and inputs the feature vector and modified feature vectors into a demand function to generate demand estimates. The system inputs the demand estimates into a likelihood model to generate a set of request likelihoods, each request likelihood representing a likelihood that the time-expiring inventory will receive a transaction request at each of a set of test price and test times to expiration. The system further trains a regression tree model based on a set of training data comprising each of the request likelihoods from the set and the test price and test time period to expiration used to generate the demand estimate that was used to generate the request likelihood.

    HIERARCHICAL GENERATION OF BOOKING PROBABILITY

    公开(公告)号:US20200184580A1

    公开(公告)日:2020-06-11

    申请号:US16214359

    申请日:2018-12-10

    申请人: Airbnb, Inc.

    发明人: Peng Ye Fan Yang

    IPC分类号: G06Q50/14 G06Q30/02 G06N20/00

    摘要: Systems and methods are provided for extracting a plurality of features for a listing from a datastore comprising a plurality of listings and a plurality of features for each of the plurality of listings, determining a cluster of similar listings to the listing and generating a set of cluster features for the cluster of similar listings, analyzing the set of cluster features for the cluster of similar listings based on a booking price, using a first trained machine learning model to determine a cluster-level probability of booking the listing on the given date, analyzing the plurality of features for the listing using the booking price, using a second trained machine learning model to determine a listing-level probability of booking the listing on the given date, and generating a final probability of booking by combining the cluster-level probability of booking and the listing-level probability of booking.

    Demand Prediction for Time-Expiring Inventory

    公开(公告)号:US20180018683A1

    公开(公告)日:2018-01-18

    申请号:US15213062

    申请日:2016-07-18

    申请人: Airbnb, Inc.

    IPC分类号: G06Q30/02

    摘要: This disclosure includes methods for predicting demand based on the price of a time-expiring inventory. An online system provides a connection between a manager of a time-expiring inventory and a plurality of clients. The online system provides a listing for the manager's time-expiring inventory to clients on the online system. The manager specifies the price of the time-expiring inventory in the listing and is presented with price tips generated by the online system. A demand function predicts the demand for the time-expiring inventory based on features of the listing and the time-expiring inventory. A manager option function predicts the likelihood of acceptance of a price tip by the manager. The online system uses the demand function and the manager option function to create a Monte Carlo pricing model to provide to the manager price tips for the listing.