摘要:
Risk in business management is analyzed based on a probabilistic network approach which quantifies the impact of operational risk on financial metrics such as Value-at-Risk (VAR) and/or Potential Losses (PL). This approach provides further capability to determine the optimal placement of one or more countermeasures within a system to minimize the impact of operational risks.
摘要:
Risk in business management is analyzed based on a probabilistic network approach which quantifies the impact of operational risk on financial metrics such as Value-at-Risk (VAR) and/or Potential Losses (PL). This approach provides further capability to determine the optimal placement of one or more countermeasures within a system to minimize the impact of operational risks.
摘要:
Risk in business management is analyzed based on a probabilistic network approach which quantifies the impact of operational risk on financial metrics such as Value-at-Risk (VAR) and/or Potential Losses (PL). This approach provides further capability to determine the optimal placement of one or more countermeasures within a system to minimize the impact of operational risks.
摘要:
A computer implemented method and a computer system implementing the method provide enterprises with pre-emptive/proactive operational risk management. First, historical data on the occurrence of operational risk events and other internal business/external metrics and indicators are collected. This is followed by construction of a model for correlating the risk events with internal and external metrics and indicators. This can result in the estimation of the probability of occurrence of risk events and a model for the severity of a loss event (in termns of, say, dollar amount) as a function of the various variables that are related to or have leverage on the business operation. The Key Risk Indicators for the business are then identified based on the model. Following this, the identified key risk factors are forecasted for future time periods and used to identify early warnings of risk and is further validated. This is used as a basis for the identification and execution of appropriate proactive/pre-emptive risk management and mitigation actions.
摘要:
A method of thresholding of a database of customer purchasing history using a computer, includes providing a customer purchase history database including data regarding customer satisfaction, awareness of vendor brands, previous purchasing history, and size of customer budget, providing a predetermined threshold regarding the data, establishing, in the computer, boundaries surrounding the predetermined threshold, splitting the data, in the computer, to maximize the differences in the data across the split; generating, in the computer, a model of the data, in the computer, based upon the split, and allocating marketing resources based upon the model.
摘要:
A method and system estimates future software support requirements based on statistical models of previous observations of support requests, either for the same product or for a different product having features previously identified as correlated with features of a new product. The estimates include an estimated volume of support requests and an estimated type of support requests. The estimated types include the activity occurring at the time of the failure, an identifier as to whether a defect in the software was previously known, and the like. The estimates are used to estimate and allocate support resources prior to support requests being received, and prior to a software product being released.
摘要:
A method of subject-adaptive, real-time sleep stage classification to classify electroencephalogram sleep recordings into sleep stages to determine whether a subject exhibits a sleep disorder includes performing subject adaptation to improve classification accuracy for a new subject with limited training data, the performing subject adaptation comprises using linear-chain conditional random fields and potential functions, training the linear-chain conditional random fields using the training data, continuously receiving the electroencephalogram waves, continuously extracting features from the electroencephalogram waves, the extracting features comprising transforming each of the electroencephalogram waves to capture information embedded in the electroencephalogram waves, and continuously classifying the sleep stages according to extracted features and learned parameters from the linear-chain conditional random fields.
摘要:
A system, method and computer program product for estimating a vehicle arrival time. The system receives information representing prior travel times of vehicles between pre-determined vehicle stops along a vehicle route. The system receives real-time data representing a current journey. The current journey refers to a movement of a vehicle currently traveling along the route. The system calculates a regular trend representing the current journey based on the received prior travel times information and the received real-time data. The system computes a deviation from the regular trend in the current journey. The system determines a future traffic status in subsequent vehicle stops in the current journey. The system estimates, for the vehicle, each arrival time of each subsequent vehicle stop based on the calculated regular trend, the computed deviation and the determined future traffic status.
摘要:
A method (and system) for providing a forecast, the method including providing a multi-dimensional database storing data at a lowest level in a first dimension, calculating a first forecast at a level that is higher than the lowest level of a first dimension in the database, calculating a forecast for each category within the lowest level of the first dimension, aggregating a second forecast across all categories at the lowest level of the first dimension based upon an aggregation of the calculated forecasts for each category within the lowest level of the first dimension, determining a difference between the first forecast and the second forecast, and storing the difference in a dummy category at the lowest level of the first dimension.
摘要:
A method (and system) for providing a forecast, the method including providing a multi-dimensional database storing data at a lowest level in a first dimension, calculating a first forecast at a level that is higher than the lowest level of a first dimension in the database, calculating a forecast for each category within the lowest level of the first dimension, aggregating a second forecast across all categories at the lowest level of the first dimension based upon an aggregation of the calculated forecasts for each category within the lowest level of the first dimension, determining a difference between the first forecast and the second forecast, and storing the difference in a dummy category at the lowest level of the first dimension.